Beginner
What a futures contract commits you to
A futures position creates an obligation whose value changes with an underlying market. Begin by separating the contract from the cash deposited to support it.
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FOLITIC / FUTURES TRADING GUIDE
Understand futures contracts, read market structure and build strategies for direction, relative value and hedging. Follow ten stages from contract basics to advanced research and disciplined risk management.
Start with What a futures contract commits you to, then follow the next lesson links. Explore 40 lessons with worked examples, exercises and further reading.
Understand the contract, its price units and the obligations on both sides.
Beginner
A futures position creates an obligation whose value changes with an underlying market. Begin by separating the contract from the cash deposited to support it.
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A small price movement can create a large cash result. Contract units, tick size and the multiplier explain the difference.
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Futures gains and losses depend on price direction, the multiplier and quantity. A short sale is not an upfront receipt of the full contract value.
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The most familiar underlying is not necessarily the most suitable contract. Compare size, liquidity, trading hours and settlement before choosing a market.
Read articleFollow collateral, daily cash flows, expiration and the roll into a new contract.
Beginner
Futures collateral is a performance bond, while price changes create cash gains or losses. A viable trade must survive both the market move and the funding...
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An intraday collateral concession changes funding access, not the size of a contract’s price risk. Position size must be decided independently.
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Expiration is a process with several deadlines. The last charted trading day may not be the date by which your broker requires a position to be...
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Rolling closes one maturity and opens another. The difference between their prices is a spread, not an instant trading profit or loss by itself.
Read articleConnect curves, positioning, economic releases and price behaviour.
Intermediate
A futures curve compares maturities at one moment. Its shape is different from a chart showing one contract through time.
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Trading activity and outstanding positions answer different questions. Neither reveals another trader’s full intention on its own.
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A trading calendar is most useful when each release is linked to the contract’s economic exposure and your intended holding period.
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Charts can organise price behaviour, but indicators are transformations of data rather than independent guarantees. Define the calculation and the decision it supports.
Read articleTranslate a trading idea into orders that account for liquidity, costs and operational limits.
Intermediate
Order instructions decide which tradeoffs you accept between price and execution. A protective order is only useful when its actual behaviour is understood.
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A strategy must pay for entering and leaving the market. Small theoretical advantages can disappear after spreads, fees and imperfect fills.
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Displayed depth is a snapshot of available interest, not a commitment that will remain while an order travels to the exchange.
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A spread can be executed as a recognised combination or assembled one leg at a time. The choice affects exposure while the trade is being established.
Read articleBuild and test rules for trends, breakouts, reversals and scheduled events.
Intermediate
A trend method turns persistent price movement into a set of testable decisions. The rules must explain entries, exits and exposure before the next chart is...
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A breakout needs a defined boundary and a plan for failure. A dramatic candle alone is not an executable trading method.
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Mean reversion assumes a temporary departure from a reference level. It requires evidence and an exit rule for the times when the market is repricing permanently.
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An announcement changes both information and the conditions for execution. Plan the exposure through the event before trying to interpret its headline.
Read articleStudy relationships between maturities, commodities and financial contracts.
Advanced
A calendar spread trades the relationship between two maturities. Its risk comes from changes in that relationship rather than the outright market alone.
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Related markets do not necessarily have matching units or risk. An intercommodity spread begins with the economic relationship and a defensible ratio.
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Processing spreads compare the value of outputs with the cost of inputs. They describe a gross relationship, not the processor’s final profit.
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Relative value across equity indices or interest rate contracts requires a measure of the exposure being matched. Equal contract counts rarely answer that question.
Read articleUse futures to manage stock, commodity, currency and interest rate exposures.
Advanced
Index futures can reduce a portfolio’s broad market exposure without selling every holding. The hedge is an estimate whose effectiveness must be measured.
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A producer and a consumer face opposite cash price risks. Futures can offset part of those risks while leaving local basis and quantity uncertainty.
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A future foreign currency receipt or payment creates an exchange rate exposure. Correct hedge direction depends on both the cash flow and the contract quotation.
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A bond portfolio’s rate exposure is better described by sensitivity than by face value alone. A futures hedge must account for the contract’s own changing sensitivity.
Read articleAdapt the process to equity indices, rates, currencies, commodities and digital assets.
Advanced
Equity index futures trade an index exposure rather than ownership of its shares. Smaller contract sizes improve granularity but do not remove leverage.
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Similar looking price changes can represent very different exposures in currency, short rate and bond futures. Read the quote before forming a direction view.
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A commodity name does not identify a complete deliverable. Location, grade, quotation units and seasonal constraints shape the risk of each contract.
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Crypto derivatives include contracts with scheduled settlement and products that continue through funding payments. Their names alone do not establish comparable protections.
Read articleSize positions, stress cash needs and manage concentrated exposures.
Advanced
Position size should connect the trading idea to the cash that can be lost. Exchange margin answers a different question from an account risk allowance.
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A sound plan must survive a cash demand, not just a chart drawdown. Stress tests combine price losses, changed collateral requirements and impaired exits.
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Diversification depends on common drivers rather than the number of symbols. Futures portfolios can hide a concentrated exposure behind several different contracts.
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Drawdown controls protect the ability to continue evaluating a method. They work best when they are written before losses create pressure to improvise.
Read articleTest ideas honestly, manage open trades and build a repeatable decision process.
Advanced
A continuous chart is a research construction. Testing a futures strategy requires knowing which contract could actually have been traded at each decision.
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A promising historical result is a hypothesis. Testing it on data that did not choose the rules helps reveal how much of the apparent edge may...
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Entry rules are only part of a strategy. Exits, quantity changes and rolls determine how the initial idea becomes an actual account result.
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A complete plan connects research, contract knowledge, execution and cash controls. Its value is that another person could understand the decisions before seeing the result.
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