FOLITIC / MONETARY POLICY
Fed Rate Monitor
Follow market expectations for the next Federal Reserve decisions.
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Expected rate change
Implied probability
How to read these estimates
These estimates use the Yes prices of Polymarket event markets. FOLITIC normalizes the prices across the listed outcomes to total 100%. They reflect prediction-market expectations, not probabilities calculated from Fed Funds futures or CME FedWatch. Market prices can be affected by liquidity, spreads and participant activity.
Estimates can change and do not guarantee a Federal Reserve decision.
Automatically checks for updated probabilities and new upcoming meetings every 5 minutes while visible. New meetings appear when data becomes available from the source.
Source: Prediction market estimates
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